In the UFC 302 Fight Night odds for the main card, Islam Makhachev is the heaviest favorite at -675 in his bout with Dustin Poirier. Makhachev s implied chance of winning based on the odds is 87%.
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UFC 302 odds as of May. 30, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Bet on UFC 302 by registering with the .
Islam Makhachev (-675) vs. Dustin Poirier (+490)
Makhachev has looked nearly unbeatable since winning the lightweight strap, notching two successful title defenses over featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski. The Dagestani grappling ace is a massive -675 favorite here.
However, Poirier is by far the best lightweight Makhachev has faced to date. The former interim champ has a well-rounded skillset with slick boxing and underrated jiu-jitsu. At +490, he offers solid value as a live underdog.
While Makhachev will likely control long stretches of the fight with his wrestling, Poirier s durability and submission savvy could allow him to survive and make things interesting if he can keep it standing. Poirier s power also gives him a puncher s chance to pull off the upset.
Ultimately though, Makhachev s suffocating grappling attack should be too much over five rounds. Look for the champ to grind out a decision or lock up a late submission.
Prediction: Makhachev by decision
Sean Strickland (-270) vs. Paulo Costa (+220)
Former middleweight champ Strickland is favored here, but Costa is a dangerous opponent who can end the fight with one shot. Strickland s volume striking and cardio are his biggest advantages, as he ll look to outpoint Costa over five rounds.
However, Costa s explosive power and kicks are a major threat early. If he can land something big in the first couple rounds, he could put Strickland away. There s definitely some value on Costa at +220 given his finishing ability.
That said, Strickland has proven extremely durable and Costa has faded in fights before. Unless Costa gets an early KO, Strickland s pace and output should win him rounds as the fight goes on. It may not be pretty, but expect Strickland to outwork Costa for a decision.
Prediction: Strickland by decision
Kevin Holland (-298) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+44)
Holland is looking to bounce back from two straight losses as he takes on the hard-hitting Oleksiejczuk. Holland s diverse striking and slick submissions make him a clear favorite, but Oleksiejczuk has legitimate one-punch KO power that can t be overlooked.
Holland will enjoy a seven-inch reach advantage and should be able to pick apart Oleksiejczuk from the outside. He ll need to be wary of Oleksiejczuk s bombs though, especially early. If Holland can weather the early storm, his volume and variety should take over.
Oleksiejczuk s best path to victory is catching Holland early before he finds his rhythm. At +400 he s a live underdog, but Holland is the more skilled and well-rounded fighter. Barring a big shot from the Pole, Holland should be able to outclass him everywhere.
Prediction: Holland by submission
